AI Search and Content Creator Impact: An Honest Assessment

Why I Put This Together

This page is a follow-up to Ken's excellent Part 2 post in our private forum about how AI search is changing the game for content creators. Like many others here, I've learned a ton from Ken over the years and appreciate the time he puts into helping us understand the shifting landscape.

That said, I wanted to share a few thoughts based on what I'm seeing with my own site just to add another angle to the conversation:

  • I've got pages sitting in the #1 or #2 spot in Google search results...
  • ...but I'm not seeing any of those pages show up in Google's AI Overviews as citation links.

My hunch? Google likely sees sites like Audubon, Cornell, or Wikipedia as more authoritative, even when smaller sites like ours offer solid, experience-based content. That's fair in some ways, but it does raise questions about how things are really working behind the scenes.

What follows is a friendly analysis of Ken's key points offered in the spirit of figuring this out together, not picking it apart. I'm hoping others might find it helpful or relatable.

AI Overviews and AIS: Honest Evaluation of Ken's Key Points

After Giving Chatgpt Part 2 and a prompt for analysis this is what followed

Thanks for the context. Your experience ranking #2 (real-world #4 due to SERP clutter) without being cited in AI Overviews (AIO) is an important data point. It shows that high rankings alone are not a guarantee of citation.

Let's go through the major points from the summary and give you straight-shooting, honest assessments of whether they truly help content creators regain lost traffic or just maintain a foothold in an AI-dominated landscape:

1. Direct Prompting vs. AI Search

Claim: AIS uses live web + LLMs, so sites cited in regular search results have a shot at being linked in AIS responses.

Reality Check: This is partially true, but oversold. While some citations are pulled from top-ranking pages, the inconsistency is striking:

  • You're ranked #2, (even #1) yet see zero link attribution in AIO.
  • Many AIOs favor generalist or institutional sources, including Reddit or forums.
  • Niche sites, even well-ranking ones, are not reliably cited unless they match internal trust/brand authority signals.

Verdict: Not a reliable benefit. Rank helps, but isn't enough. Citation selection remains opaque.

2. Google Overviews (Gemini + Search) Will Dominate

Claim: Google's integration ensures it stays dominant and benefits content creators via citations.

Reality Check: Google will likely dominate, but that doesn't mean small publishers win:

  • Overviews satisfy queries before users scroll to organic results.
  • Many queries are zero-click, even when links are present.
  • High-ranking pages often still aren't included in Overviews.

Verdict: Bad for content creators. Google wins; you may lose exposure if you're not cited.

3. "Advanced SEO" Is Dead; Focus on Content and UX

Claim: You don't need new SEO tactics. Just produce great content with good UX.

Reality Check: Sound advice, but incomplete:

  • Thin content from big brands still wins.
  • High-quality content can be skipped for citations.
  • CTR and impressions drop as AIO expands.

Verdict: Mostly true, but naive. You must now optimize for AI visibility, not just traditional SERPs.

4. Citations Come from Top Search Results

Claim: High rankings in Google or Bing lead to AIO or ChatGPT citations.

Reality Check: False in practice. Google likely weighs other factors:

  • Entity recognition and authority signals. I believe this is why I can rank #2 and not get a citation link.
  • User interaction metrics like dwell time.
  • Structured data may help, but not always.

Verdict: False if taken literally. Rank improves odds, but brand authority matters more.

5. CTR Will Recover Because Links Are Increasing

Claim: As Google embeds more links, click-through rates will rebound.

Reality Check: Maybe, but current behavior still hurts:

  • Overviews dominate screen space.
  • Google's goal is query satisfaction, not referral traffic.
  • 25-35% CTR drops can't be fixed with a few extra links.

Verdict: Overly optimistic. CTR may recover a little, but likely never to pre-AIO levels.

I might add: Danny Sullivan (Google liaison) told a group of content publishers at a meeting at Google headquarters to not expect to regain pre-September 2023 traffic.

6. Focus on Ranking at Google; That's All That Matters

Claim: Rank well in Google and everything else (AIS, citations, traffic) will follow.

Reality Check: Real-world data shows otherwise:

  • #2 ranking no citation. (I also check a #1 ranking which also had no citation link. The same with Nori's website. Although she had a citation to a Youtube video for one search. A Google owned property.
  • AIO satisfies users before they see your result.
  • Visibility is shifting to AI-driven surfaces.

Verdict: False under current conditions. AI visibility is now just as critical as SERP position.

7. Perplexity, Claude, etc. Are Too Small to Matter

Claim: They're not worth focusing on.

Reality Check: Mostly true, but with a twist:

  • Perplexity is growing fast in niche, research-heavy spaces.
  • It's more generous with links than Google.
  • May offer good returns for modest effort in underserved topics.

Verdict: Mostly true for now. But keep an eye on Perplexity for potential low-friction gains.

Final Honest Assessment

Despite Ken's thoughtful optimism, the playing field has changed:

  • Even top content is bypassed in AIO.
  • CTR is shrinking due to top-of-page AI answers.
  • Citation logic favors brands and authority signals over rank alone.

So, will this new landscape fully benefit creators like before?

Not unless Google changes how it distributes visibility and trust in AI summaries.

How You Can Still Win

  • Improve your brand/entity recognition where possible.
  • Add schema that supports AI citation needs.
  • Build authority beyond Google (email, YouTube, etc.).
  • Test on Perplexity and ChatGPT to identify new traffic paths.